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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Lazio
1 - 2
AC Milan

Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 1-0 AC Milan

There is little to choose between two of the teams to have kept the most clean sheets in 2022 - nine for Milan and six for Lazio (who are joint-second in that regard) - so goals could be at a premium. The Rossoneri are under more intense pressure than their Roman rivals and may crack at some point, which would have serious consequences for their dreams of the Scudetto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
36.97%25.99%37.04%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88%50.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91%72.09%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65%26.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51%61.49%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56%61.44%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 36.97%
    AC Milan 37.04%
    Draw 25.99%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.97%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.04%

How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio
34.1%
Draw
19.6%
AC Milan
46.4%
179
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')
Jul 4, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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