Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
