Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
54.11% (![]() | 23.42% (![]() | 22.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% (![]() | 46.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.22% (![]() | 68.79% (![]() |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% (![]() | 17.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.71% (![]() | 47.3% (![]() |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% (![]() | 34.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.34% (![]() | 71.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 10.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.48% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.86% Total : 54.11% | 1-1 @ 11.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.28% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 22.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |