Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1 - 0Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Both coaches have cited concerns about fatigue following their European exploits, but the two teams have had a similar workload in that regard. It may, therefore, be a cautious encounter decided by a single goal, and Lazio's ability to keep the back door shut could tip the balance in their favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Roma |
45.25% ( 0.02) | 27.32% ( 0.09) | 27.43% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.09% ( -0.4) | 57.91% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( -0.32) | 78.62% ( 0.32) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.17) | 25.52% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.63% ( -0.23) | 60.37% ( 0.23) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.16% ( -0.32) | 36.84% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.37% ( -0.32) | 73.63% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Lazio 45.25%
Roma 27.43%
Draw 27.31%
| Lazio | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.43% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Roma
Lazio
53.1%Draw
23.9%Roma
23.0%113
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 5pm
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
May 15, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 15, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
3-0
Roma
