Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 11.30am UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo0 - 2Lazio
We said: Sassuolo 1-2 Lazio
Already enduring a tough time this term, Sassuolo have now lost their attacking focal point to injury and are ill-placed to take advantage of Lazio's recent loss of form. Even if they take the lead, the Neroverdi are always susceptible to leaving the back door open and can be stung by their visitors' potent front line. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
29.85% ( -0.5) | 24.45% ( -0.31) | 45.7% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
