Lazio

3 - 1

Venezia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.