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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Lazio logo

Genoa
0 - 1
Lazio


Vogliacco (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alberto (67')
Casale (16'), Cataldi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa
Monday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 2-2 Lazio

The last six games between these sides at the Marassi have been goal-laden, and Friday's encounter should be no different. Genoa's four-game undefeated run (three draws) should become five, while Tudor's men should have enough up top to avoid losing in Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawLazio
47.11% (0.509 0.51) 26.69% (-0.064 -0.06) 26.2% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 47.92% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)56.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-0.029 -0.03)77.36% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.224 0.22)23.92% (-0.225 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.32100000000001 0.32)58.13% (-0.322 -0.32)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.397 -0.4)37.01% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.394 -0.39)73.8% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 47.11%
    Lazio 26.2%
    Draw 26.68%
GenoaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Genoa vs Lazio

Genoa
23.8%
Draw
28.5%
Lazio
47.7%
130
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-0
Genoa
Guendouzi (5')
Pellegrini (90+4')

Galdames (49'), Fini (85')
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lazio
0-1
Genoa

Cataldi (38'), Pellegrini (90+2'), Zaccagni (90+3'), Immobile (90+4')
Retegui (16')
Frendrup (39'), Malinovskyi (61')
Apr 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Genoa
1-4
Lazio
Patric (68' og.)
Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Genoa
Pedro (36'), Acerbi (75'), Zaccagni (81')
Melegoni (86')
Ghiglione (30'), Vasquez (60'), Portanova (73')
May 2, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Lazio
4-3
Genoa
Correa (30', 56'), Immobile (43' pen.), Alberto (48')
Leiva (45'), Cataldi (79'), Fares (83')
Marusic (47' og.), Scamacca (80' pen.), Shomurodov (81')
Biraschi (32'), Radovanovic (43'), Masiello (70'), Cassata (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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