MX23RW : Thursday, December 19 11:43:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Spezia Calcio logo

Monza
2 - 0
Spezia

Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34'), Izzo (49'), Ranocchia (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

N'Zola (41'), Nikolaou (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-3 Monza
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-1 Spezia

Monza look to have gotten themselves back on track in recent weeks and will head into this weekend's clash as favourites and while we expect Spezia to provide a stern test, we are backing the home side to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monza.

Result
MonzaDrawSpezia
62.27% (0.137 0.14) 20.61% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 17.12% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)41.71% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (0.052 0.05)64.11% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.057000000000002 0.06)12.84% (-0.051 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.81% (0.114 0.11)39.2% (-0.107 -0.11)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)37.73% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)74.51% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Monza 62.27%
    Spezia 17.12%
    Draw 20.61%
MonzaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.98% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 17.12%

How you voted: Monza vs Spezia

Monza
Draw
Spezia
Monza
74.5%
Draw
13.7%
Spezia
11.8%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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