Monza2 - 0Spezia
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Monza 2-1 Spezia
Monza look to have gotten themselves back on track in recent weeks and will head into this weekend's clash as favourites and while we expect Spezia to provide a stern test, we are backing the home side to get the job done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monza.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Spezia |
62.27% ( 0.14) | 20.61% ( -0.04) | 17.12% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( 0.05) | 41.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( 0.05) | 64.11% ( -0.04) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( 0.06) | 12.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.11) | 39.2% ( -0.11) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( -0.08) | 37.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.49% ( -0.07) | 74.51% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.12% |
