Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Monza

Gonzalez (48')
Gendrey (45+3'), Di Francesco (52'), Banda (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sensi (35')
Birindelli (29'), Sensi (41'), Molina (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

Last Six:

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Lecce
Monday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Bologna	5	-3	3
17	Lecce	5	-3	2
18	Sampdoria	6	-8	2

Monza

Last Six:

Last Game: Monza 0-2 Atalanta
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Sampdoria	6	-8	2
19	Cremonese	5	-5	1
20	Monza	5	-11	0

Neither side have scored many goals so far this season, and we would not be surprised if it is a low-scoring draw on Sunday between two teams low on confidence. The visitors would likely take that outcome to put a stop to their losing streak as they attempt to gain belief that they can compete at this level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Monza
51.83% ( -0.15)	25.97% ( 0.06)	22.2% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 46.06% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.22% (

-0.13)

56.77% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.28% (

-0.11)

77.71% (

0.1)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02% (

-0.12)

21.98% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.71% (

-0.19)

55.28% (

0.18)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.04% (

0.01)

40.96% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.48% (

0.01)

77.52% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lecce 51.83%

Monza 22.2%

Draw 25.96%

Lecce	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.83%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.2%