Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Napoli | 5 | 8 | 11 |
3 | AC Milan | 5 | 5 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Hellas Verona | 5 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Spezia | 5 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Empoli | 5 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
78.42% (![]() | 13.62% (![]() | 7.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.74% (![]() | 32.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.13% (![]() | 53.86% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% (![]() | 6.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.56% (![]() | 24.43% (![]() |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.55% (![]() | 46.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.93% (![]() | 82.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 11.3% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.26% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 3.68% Total : 78.41% | 1-1 @ 6.37% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 13.62% | 1-2 @ 2.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 7.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |