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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Spezia Calcio logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Spezia

Raspadori (89')
Elmas (71'), Spalletti (82'), Spalletti (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyasi (45'), Dragowski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Spezia

Balancing duties at home and abroad will prove a tough task for Napoli, but given their visitors' current form and their own increasing squad depth, they are set to secure a third straight victory - and their first top-flight win over Spezia at the Maradona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSpezia
78.42% (-1.568 -1.57) 13.62% (0.579 0.58) 7.95% (0.983 0.98)
Both teams to score 50.04% (3.081 3.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.74% (1.102 1.1)32.25% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (1.272 1.27)53.86% (-1.279 -1.28)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.43% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)6.56% (0.069 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.56% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)24.43% (0.188 0.19)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (3.335 3.34)46.44% (-3.34 -3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (2.441 2.44)82.06% (-2.447 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.41%
    Spezia 7.95%
    Draw 13.62%
NapoliDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 10.26% (-0.75 -0.75)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.538 -0.54)
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 6.99% (-0.54 -0.54)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 3.81% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.339 0.34)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.224 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.148 -0.15)
6-1 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 78.41%
1-1 @ 6.37% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.385 0.39)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 13.62%
1-2 @ 2.44% (0.291 0.29)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.95%

How you voted: Napoli vs Spezia

Napoli
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Spezia
3.4%
116
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 11.30am
Spezia
0-3
Napoli

Manaj (45+10')
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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