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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Spezia Calcio logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Spezia

Raspadori (89')
Elmas (71'), Spalletti (82'), Spalletti (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyasi (45'), Dragowski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Spezia

Balancing duties at home and abroad will prove a tough task for Napoli, but given their visitors' current form and their own increasing squad depth, they are set to secure a third straight victory - and their first top-flight win over Spezia at the Maradona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSpezia
78.42% (-1.568 -1.57) 13.62% (0.579 0.58) 7.95% (0.983 0.98)
Both teams to score 50.04% (3.081 3.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.74% (1.102 1.1)32.25% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (1.272 1.27)53.86% (-1.279 -1.28)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.43% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)6.56% (0.069 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.56% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)24.43% (0.188 0.19)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (3.335 3.34)46.44% (-3.34 -3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (2.441 2.44)82.06% (-2.447 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.41%
    Spezia 7.95%
    Draw 13.62%
NapoliDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 10.26% (-0.75 -0.75)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.538 -0.54)
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 6.99% (-0.54 -0.54)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 3.81% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.339 0.34)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.224 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.148 -0.15)
6-1 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 78.41%
1-1 @ 6.37% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.385 0.39)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 13.62%
1-2 @ 2.44% (0.291 0.29)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.95%

How you voted: Napoli vs Spezia

Napoli
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Spezia
3.4%
116
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 11.30am
Spezia
0-3
Napoli

Manaj (45+10')
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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