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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Salernitana

Napoli
4 - 1
Salernitana

Jesus (17'), Mertens (45+4' pen.), Rrahmani (47'), Insigne (53' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bonazzoli (33')
Delli Carri (23'), Obi (30'), Veseli (45+3')
Veseli (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Napoli 4-0 Salernitana

There is only one viable outcome from this lopsided derby encounter, as Napoli have several men returning to aid their quest to get back in the title race, and their visitors are rock-bottom and beset with absences. With competition for places back on the agenda for the Partenopei, the likes of Osimhen, Mertens and Lozano will go all out to establish their credentials before upcoming clashes with Inter and Barcelona - resulting in a torrid afternoon for Serie B-bound Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.63%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSalernitana
73.63%15.98%10.39%
Both teams to score 51.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.25%35.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.17%57.83%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66%8.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.95%29.05%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19%43.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03%79.97%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 73.63%
    Salernitana 10.39%
    Draw 15.98%
NapoliDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 11.27%
3-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 7.71%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.88%
5-1 @ 2.38%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-0 @ 1.19%
6-1 @ 0.99%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 73.63%
1-1 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 3.84%
0-0 @ 3.65%
Other @ 1%
Total : 15.98%
1-2 @ 3.09%
0-1 @ 3.01%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 10.39%

How you voted: Napoli vs Salernitana

Napoli
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Salernitana
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 11
Salernitana
0-1
Napoli

Kastanos (70')
Zielinski (61')
Zambo Anguissa (41'), Rui (74')
Koulibaly (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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