Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Dec 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Recent setbacks in Naples should ensure the home side do not have complacency to contend with on Wednesday, and a thoroughly professional approach can help them end the year with successive Serie A wins. Certainly a weaker team without some integral cogs in Spalletti's machine, Napoli will still be able to exploit Spezia's numerous failings at the back, and despite fielding an improvised back four, they remain one of the best defensive sides in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.89%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Spezia
79.89%	12.88%	7.23%

Both teams to score 49.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.24%

52.76%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.91%

6.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.87%

23.13%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.47%

47.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.12%

82.88%

Score Analysis

Napoli 79.88%

Spezia 7.23%

Draw 12.88%

Napoli	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 11.33% 3-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.43% 1-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.87% 4-0 @ 7.41% 4-1 @ 5.51% 5-0 @ 4.15% 5-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 2.05% 6-0 @ 1.94% 6-1 @ 1.44% 5-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.92% Total : 79.88%	1-1 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 3.14% 0-0 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.83% Total : 12.88%	1-2 @ 2.24% 0-1 @ 2.15% Other @ 2.84% Total : 7.23%