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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
Napoli logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-1)
Elmas (5')
Di Lorenzo (33'), Malcuit (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Napoli

 In what is sure to be an intensely-contested affair, a low-scoring draw could be the outcome, with both sides still diminished by injuries up front. Milan have won six from eight on home soil in Serie A this term, but Napoli have held the edge over them during recent years, and can use their counter-attacking pace and interplay to snatch a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
33.74%24.87%41.38%
Both teams to score 57.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47%45.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14%67.86%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94%26.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9%61.1%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02%21.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72%55.28%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 33.74%
    Napoli 41.38%
    Draw 24.87%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 33.74%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.38%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
55.4%
Draw
25.2%
Napoli
19.3%
202
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')
> Preview
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
> Preview
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-2
AC Milan
> Preview
Nov 23, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
1-1
Napoli
> Preview
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
2-0
Napoli
Piatek (11', 27')

Malcuit (29'), Milik (35'), Koulibaly (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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