Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 4, 2021 at 2pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
2 - 0
Salernitana

Kessie (5'), Saelemaekers (18')
Bakayoko (24')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Di Tacchio (30'), Djuric (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

A rejuvenated Milan were far livelier in midweek, so the opportunity to welcome struggling Salernitana to San Siro presents them with another chance to secure three points to keep their Scudetto challenge ticking over. Goals have been in particularly short supply for the southern side, so the hosts can flood forward without fear of conceding and cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Salernitana
68.3%	18.75%	12.94%

Both teams to score 50.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.02%

41.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.62%

64.38%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.74%

11.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.16%

35.83%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.43%

43.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.23%

79.76%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 68.29%

Salernitana 12.94%

Draw 18.75%

AC Milan	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 11.69% 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 4.65% 4-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 2.94% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.79% Total : 68.29%	1-1 @ 8.9% 0-0 @ 4.9% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.91% Total : 18.75%	0-1 @ 4.07% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.12% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.33% Total : 12.94%