Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
