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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jul 2, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Napoli

Pasalic (47'), Gosens (56')
Toloi (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rui (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including team news and predicted lineups

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
49.22%22.2%28.58%
Both teams to score 64.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.73%35.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.71%57.29%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.27%14.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.05%42.94%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79%24.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.46%58.54%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 49.22%
    Napoli 28.58%
    Draw 22.2%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 5.92%
3-2 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 2%
5-1 @ 1.09%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.22%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 3.57%
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-1 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.58%

Head to Head
Oct 30, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 10
Napoli
2-2
Atalanta
Maksimovic (16'), Milik (71')
Maksimovic (48'), Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (88')
Freuler (41'), Ilicic (86')
Toloi (20'), de Roon (64'), Pasalic (67')
Apr 22, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 33
Napoli
1-2
Atalanta
Mertens (28')
Hysaj (29'), Koulibaly (71'), Fabian (82')
Zapata (69'), Pasalic (80')
Mancini (1')
Dec 3, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Zapata (56')
Masiello (61')
Fabian (2'), Milik (85')
Allan (14'), Rui (79')
Jan 21, 2018 11.30am
Jan 2, 2018 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Napoli
1-2
Atalanta
Mertens (85')
Koulibaly (21'), Rog (27')
Castagne (50'), Papu (81')
Freuler (19'), Caldara (41'), Toloi (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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