Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
49.22% | 22.2% | 28.58% |
Both teams to score 64.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.71% | 57.29% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.27% | 14.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.05% | 42.94% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% | 24.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.46% | 58.54% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-2 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.09% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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