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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Spezia Calcio logo

Parma
2 - 2
Spezia

Gagliolo (34'), Kucka (90+2' pen.)
Grassi (5'), Hernani (23'), Sohm (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Chabot (28'), Agudelo (31')
Pobega (6'), Ferrer (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A encounter between Parma and Spezia, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawSpezia
34.13%27.9%37.98%
Both teams to score 47.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.67%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61%68.39%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Score Analysis
    Parma 34.12%
    Spezia 37.98%
    Draw 27.89%
ParmaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head
May 18, 2018 7.30pm
Spezia
0-2
Parma

Gilardino (24'), Lopez (42')
Ceravolo (11'), Ciciretti (61')
Ceravolo (23'), Sierralta (45'), Ciciretti (62')
Dec 27, 2017 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Spezia
Lucarelli (31'), Di Cesare (57'), Sierralta (73')
Lucarelli (42')
Bolzoni (24'), Terzi (47'), Maggiore (48'), De Col (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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