Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Spezia Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
| 59.45% | 21.59% | 18.96% |
| Both teams to score 54.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% | 43.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% | 65.48% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% | 14.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.24% | 41.76% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% | 36.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.75% | 73.25% |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 59.45%
Spezia 18.96%
Draw 21.58%
| AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.87% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.94% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 5.19% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 2.62% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.96% |
Head to Head
