Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese3 - 2Parma
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Parma |
| 40.02% | 27.05% | 32.93% |
| Both teams to score 50.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
