Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Via del Mare
Lecce3 - 4Parma
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Parma |
| 44.66% | 23.84% | 31.49% |
| Both teams to score 60.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.49% | 41.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% | 63.91% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% | 18.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.71% | 50.29% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% | 25.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.67% | 60.32% |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 44.66%
Parma 31.49%
Draw 23.83%
| Lecce | Draw | Parma |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.4% Total : 44.66% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.49% |
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Parma
2-0
Lecce
