Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
74.08% | 15.37% | 10.55% |
Both teams to score 54.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.95% | 32.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.36% | 53.64% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.63% | 7.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.42% | 26.58% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% | 40.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% | 77.48% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 7.86% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.56% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.32% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.56% Total : 74.08% | 1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.37% | 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |