Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
74.08% | 15.37% | 10.55% |
Both teams to score 54.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.95% | 32.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.36% | 53.64% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.63% | 7.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.42% | 26.58% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.09% | 40.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.52% | 77.48% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 7.86% 4-0 @ 5.82% 4-1 @ 5.2% 3-2 @ 3.56% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.32% 6-0 @ 1.32% 5-2 @ 1.21% 6-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.56% Total : 74.08% | 1-1 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 3.01% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.37% | 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-1 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-2 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |