Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
44.47% | 27.54% | 27.99% |
Both teams to score 46.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.58% | 58.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.98% | 79.02% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% | 36.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% | 73.46% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |