Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
