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Venezia
Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Lecce logo

Salernitana
0 - 1
Lecce


Coulibaly (30'), Maggiore (45'), Pirola (73'), Zanoli (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyomber (17' og.)
Ramadani (49'), Piccoli (54'), Pongracic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-0 Lecce

It is unknown how Gotti's Lecce appointment elicits a reaction in the struggling side, but erring on the side of caution is the sensible move to opt for a scoreless draw at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawLecce
32.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 26.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 41.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.2 0.2)52.99% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.171 0.17)74.58% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.163 0.16)30.75% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.192 0.19)67.01% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.064000000000007 0.06)25.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.04% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.13%
    Lecce 41.35%
    Draw 26.5%
SalernitanaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.35%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Lecce

Salernitana
32.3%
Draw
33.9%
Lecce
33.9%
62
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Krstovic (6'), Espeto (90+8' pen.)
Kaba (30'), Banda (42'), Gonzalez (90+4'), D'Aversa (90')

Lovato (17'), Legowski (76'), Bohinen (83')
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-2
Salernitana
Espeto (23')
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 12
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina24126641251642
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma249783529634
10Udinese2486102937-830
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
14Lecce2466121841-2324
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
16Como2457122840-1222
17Empoli2449112235-1321
18Parma2448123044-1420
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2427152139-1813


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