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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Lecce logo

Salernitana
0 - 1
Lecce


Coulibaly (30'), Maggiore (45'), Pirola (73'), Zanoli (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gyomber (17' og.)
Ramadani (49'), Piccoli (54'), Pongracic (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 4-2 Salernitana
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 0-0 Lecce

It is unknown how Gotti's Lecce appointment elicits a reaction in the struggling side, but erring on the side of caution is the sensible move to opt for a scoreless draw at the Arechi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawLecce
32.13% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 26.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 41.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (0.2 0.2)52.99% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (0.171 0.17)74.58% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.163 0.16)30.75% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.192 0.19)67.01% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (0.064000000000007 0.06)25.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.04% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.13%
    Lecce 41.35%
    Draw 26.5%
SalernitanaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 41.35%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Lecce

Salernitana
32.3%
Draw
33.9%
Lecce
33.9%
62
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Krstovic (6'), Espeto (90+8' pen.)
Kaba (30'), Banda (42'), Gonzalez (90+4'), D'Aversa (90')

Lovato (17'), Legowski (76'), Bohinen (83')
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-2
Salernitana
Espeto (23')
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 12
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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