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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Salernitana

Thuram (17'), Martinez (19'), Dumfries (40'), Arnautovic (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Tchaouna (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, February 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-3 Empoli
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Salernitana

Despite the managerial change at Salernitana, any response to Liverani's appointment must wait, with Inter expected to secure a routine victory over the struggling visitors at San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.35%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 3.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.83%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.68%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
86.35% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 9.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03) 3.72% (0.0211 0.02)
Both teams to score 36.12% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.08% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)33.92% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.77% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.62% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)5.38% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)21.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)61.83% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.44% (0.036100000000001 0.04)91.55% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 86.33%
    Salernitana 3.72%
    Draw 9.93%
Inter MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 14.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 13.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 5.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
6-0 @ 2.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
7-0 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 86.33%
1-1 @ 4.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 9.93%
0-1 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 3.72%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Salernitana

Inter Milan
93.5%
Draw
3.3%
Salernitana
3.3%
123
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
0-4
Inter Milan

Cabral (60'), Gyomber (69')
Martinez (62', 77', 85', 89')
Calhanoglu (25')
Apr 7, 2023 4pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.30am
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Inter Milan
5-0
Salernitana
Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

Mousset (12')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Salernitana
0-5
Inter Milan

Gyomber (53')
Perisic (11'), Dumfries (33'), Sanchez (52'), Martinez (77'), Gagliardini (87')
Barella (18'), Calhanoglu (76')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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