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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Salernitana

Lecce
2 - 0
Salernitana

Krstovic (6'), Espeto (90+8' pen.)
Kaba (30'), Banda (42'), Gonzalez (90+4'), D'Aversa (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lovato (17'), Legowski (76'), Bohinen (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Lecce
Sunday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Salernitana

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Udinese
Monday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 2-2 Salernitana

 As two likely contestants for mid-table safety meet, both can extend their unbeaten start to the season. Lecce and Salernitana have made some smart attacking acquisitions this summer, so a draw featuring goals at both ends could play out at Via del Mare. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawSalernitana
52.09% (1.06 1.06) 25.77% (-0.13 -0.13) 22.14% (-0.936 -0.94)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-0.695 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)56.11% (0.356 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-0.296 -0.3)77.18% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.304 0.3)21.6% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.3% (0.467 0.47)54.69% (-0.473 -0.47)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-1.125 -1.13)40.64% (1.118 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (-1.027 -1.03)77.23% (1.023 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 52.08%
    Salernitana 22.14%
    Draw 25.76%
LecceDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.45% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 10.3% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.215 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 52.08%
1-1 @ 12.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 22.14%

How you voted: Lecce vs Salernitana

Lecce
53.6%
Draw
32.1%
Salernitana
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-2
Salernitana
Espeto (23')
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 12
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Lecce
4-0
Salernitana
Lapadula (4', 76'), Falco (61'), Majer (81')
Calderoni (33'), La Mantia (59')

Kiyine (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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