Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Jul 1, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 2
Sampdoria

Mancosu (50' pen.)
Paz (37'), Mancosu (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramirez (40' pen., 75' pen.)
Augello (58'), Thorsby (77'), Bereszynski (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sampdoria, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Sampdoria
35.85%	23.73%	40.42%

Both teams to score 62.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.31%

39.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.96%

62.04%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84%

22.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45%

55.55%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07%

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92%

52.08%

Score Analysis

Lecce 35.85%

Sampdoria 40.42%

Draw 23.73%

Lecce	Draw	Sampdoria
2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.85%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 4.42% 3-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 8.66% 0-1 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 4.65% 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.11% Total : 40.42%