Serie A | Gameweek 10
Dec 5, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Spezia1 - 2Lazio
FT(HT: 0-2)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lazio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
| 28.23% | 23.77% | 48% |
| Both teams to score 58.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% | 42.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% | 65.39% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% | 28.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.89% | 64.12% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% | 18.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.01% | 49% |
| Score Analysis |
Spezia 28.23%
Lazio 48%
Draw 23.77%
| Spezia | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 6.96% 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.23% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-1 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.62% Total : 48% |
How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio
Spezia
15.2%Draw
16.6%Lazio
68.2%368
