Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 54.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
