Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 0-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
17.5% | 19.43% | 63.07% |
Both teams to score 59.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.58% | 35.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.55% | 57.45% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% | 33.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.9% | 70.1% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.26% | 10.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.31% | 34.69% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 4.8% 1-0 @ 3.93% 2-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.96% 3-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.91% Total : 17.5% | 1-1 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 3.59% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.95% 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 7.29% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-4 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.99% 0-4 @ 3.71% 2-4 @ 2.23% 1-5 @ 1.82% 0-5 @ 1.66% 2-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.91% Total : 63.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 28 |
2 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
3 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
5 | Juventus | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
6 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
7 | AC Milan | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
16 | Genoa | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
17 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |