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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Monza

Spezia
0 - 2
Monza


Gyasi (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ciurria (21'), Augusto (90+3')
Birindelli (68'), Sensi (90+2'), Palladino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Monza

Spezia have shown great spirit to draw three of their last four matches and remain outside the relegation zone, so we expect the hosts to hold Monza at Stadio Alberto Picco, with a familiar scoreline in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawMonza
30.63%25.52% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 30.63%
    Monza 43.84%
    Draw 25.52%
SpeziaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.84%

How you voted: Spezia vs Monza

Spezia
Draw
Monza
Spezia
25.0%
Draw
20.3%
Monza
54.7%
64
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 9
Monza
2-0
Spezia
Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta36218773324171
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma36189951341763
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina361781154371759
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17VeneziaVenezia36514173050-2029
18Empoli36513182956-2728
19Lecce36610202558-3328
RMonza3639242764-3718


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