Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Monza |
30.63% | 25.52% ( 0) | 43.85% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% ( 0) | 49.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% ( 0) | 71.47% ( -0) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.02% ( 0) | 29.97% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.91% ( 0) | 66.09% ( -0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.52% ( 0) | 22.48% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% ( 0) | 56.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.22% Total : 43.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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