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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Monza

Spezia
0 - 2
Monza


Gyasi (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ciurria (21'), Augusto (90+3')
Birindelli (68'), Sensi (90+2'), Palladino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 3-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Monza

Spezia have shown great spirit to draw three of their last four matches and remain outside the relegation zone, so we expect the hosts to hold Monza at Stadio Alberto Picco, with a familiar scoreline in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawMonza
30.63%25.52% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.47% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 30.63%
    Monza 43.84%
    Draw 25.52%
SpeziaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.3%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.5%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.71%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.39%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 43.84%

How you voted: Spezia vs Monza

Spezia
25.0%
Draw
20.3%
Monza
54.7%
64
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
gameweek 9
Monza
2-0
Spezia
Augusto (32'), Mari (63')
Sensi (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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