Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
We said: Hellas Verona 1-1 Monza
Not only are Verona suffering a long dry spell in front of goal, they have scored just five times in the second half of Serie A fixtures this season - the worst record of any team in Europe's top five leagues. Should they trail at the break, then, the Scaligeri could be in trouble, but they have improved enough to secure a point against an impressive Monza side.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.54% . A win for Monza had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.16%) . The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Hellas Verona Draw Monza 39.54% ( 0.5) 27.18% ( -0.25) 33.28% ( -0.26)
Both teams to score 49.99% ( 0.7)
44.63% ( 0.91) 55.37% ( -0.91)
23.42% ( 0.74) 76.57% ( -0.75)
72.64% ( 0.72) 27.36% ( -0.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.18% ( 0.92) 62.82% ( -0.92)
68.82% ( 0.29) 31.18% ( -0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.49% ( 0.34) 67.51% ( -0.34)
Hellas Verona 39.53%
Monza 33.28%
Draw 27.18%
Hellas Verona Draw Monza 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.53% 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.18% 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.28%
How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Monza
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rhs 2.0
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