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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Spezia Calcio logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Spezia

Wisniewski (25' og.)
Italiano (62+62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Zola (32')
Maldini (35'), Gyasi (45+1'), N'Zola (45'), Ampadu (63'), Bastoni (68'), Ekdal (72'), Wisniewski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 3-1 Spezia

Italiano's troops are flying at the moment, and only a disastrous showing against Spezia would see them drop points in the league on their turf. With Fiorentina winning four of their last four against the Aquilotti in the competition, this should become five successive victories against a struggling side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
76.98% (0.012 0.01) 14.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01) 8.27% (-0.0091000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.08% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.11%7.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)27.91% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.95% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.01% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)83.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 76.97%
    Spezia 8.28%
    Draw 14.74%
FiorentinaDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 12.47%
3-0 @ 10.56%
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.53%
4-0 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 3.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.7%
6-0 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 76.97%
1-1 @ 7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 14.74%
0-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 8.28%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Spezia

Fiorentina
87.2%
Draw
8.5%
Spezia
4.3%
47
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
N'Zola (35')
Nikolaou (7')
Milenkovic (14'), Cabral (90')
Feb 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-2
Fiorentina
Agudelo (74')
Reca (78'), Amian (84')
Piatek (42'), Amrabat (89')
Castrovilli (67')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (44' pen., 62', 74')
Martinez (36'), Venuti (55'), Vlahovic (75'), Maleh (82')

Ferrer (21'), Gyasi (43'), Colley (58'), Motta (78')
Feb 19, 2021 5.30pm
Fiorentina
3-0
Spezia
Vlahovic (51'), Castrovilli (65'), Eysseric (83')
Amrabat (18'), Eysseric (75'), Valero (77'), Martinez (90+2')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Spezia
2-2
Fiorentina
Verde (39'), Farias (75')
Deiola (45+1'), Chabot (59')
Pezzella (2'), Biraghi (4')
Bonaventura (66'), Lirola (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Juventus633090912
2AC Milan6321147711
3Torino6321108211
4Inter Milan6321137611
5Udinese6312910-110
6Napoli531194510
7Empoli624052310
8Lazio63121210210
9Roma62317439
10Como6222911-28
11Atalanta BCAtalanta62131112-17
12Bologna614179-27
13Fiorentina61417707
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona62041011-16
15Parma512289-15
16Lecce6123311-85
17Genoa6123410-65
18VeneziaVenezia6114410-64
19Monza503246-23
20CagliariCagliari502318-72


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