Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
76.98% ( 0.01) | 14.74% ( -0.01) | 8.27% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.1% ( 0) | 36.9% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.92% ( 0) | 59.08% ( -0.01) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.11% | 7.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.09% ( 0.01) | 27.91% ( -0.01) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.95% ( -0.02) | 49.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.01% ( -0.01) | 83.99% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.47% 3-0 @ 10.56% 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.52% Total : 76.97% | 1-1 @ 7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 14.74% | 0-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 8.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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