Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 23, 2023 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
3 - 2
Fiorentina

Biraghi (26' og.), Mota (43'), Pessina (59' pen.)
Augusto (33'), Izzo (68'), Rovella (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Kouame (8'), Saponara (13')
Barak (39'), Milenkovic (42'), Amrabat (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Monza
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-3 Lech Poznan
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams are enjoying some good form, even if Monza's achievements have been more modest by comparison, but the effects of a long continental campaign could finally be catching up with Fiorentina. With their priorities now lying in the cups, Sunday's visitors are set to take their eye off the ball and drop points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Fiorentina
23.23% ( 0.21)	25.57% ( 0.09)	51.2% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 48.31% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.58% (

-0.14)

54.42% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21% (

-0.11)

75.79% (

0.11)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.38% (

0.12)

38.62% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.63% (

0.12)

75.36% (

-0.12)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.71% (

-0.18)

21.28% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.78% (

-0.28)

54.21% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Monza 23.23%

Fiorentina 51.19%

Draw 25.57%

Monza	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.23%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.19%