Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Sampdoria1 - 1Spezia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, April 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Lazio
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
25
We said: Sampdoria 1-0 Spezia
Both among the lowest scorers in Serie A this season, Saturday's derby could go to the wire - particularly as Sampdoria and Spezia are among the three sides that have conceded the most goals during the second half. A lapse in concentration rather than a moment of glory may see the points' destiny decided, and Samp can finally give their long-suffering fans something to cheer about. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
40.91% ( -0.15) | 26.69% ( 0.01) | 32.41% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
