Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
40.91% ( -0.15) | 26.69% ( 0.01) | 32.41% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% ( -0.01) | 53.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% ( -0) | 75.12% ( 0.01) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -0.08) | 25.8% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.24% ( -0.11) | 60.76% ( 0.11) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.12% ( 0.09) | 30.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.83% ( 0.11) | 67.16% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.9% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |