Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
23.71% ( -0.03) | 24.98% ( 0) | 51.31% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.28% ( -0.02) | 51.71% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.51% ( -0.02) | 73.49% ( 0.02) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% ( -0.03) | 36.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% ( -0.03) | 73.46% ( 0.03) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.85% ( 0) | 20.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.57% ( 0.01) | 52.43% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 7.41% 2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.08% 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 51.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |