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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
2 - 1
AC Milan

Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Schuurs (24'), Buongiorno (30'), Juric (68'), Juric (70'), Pellegri (71'), Linetty (87'), Lukic (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Messias (67')
Kalulu (35'), Pobega (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Torino
Sunday, October 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 1-2 AC Milan

Torino can finally end their scoring drought against Milan, but that may not prove enough to avoid defeat on Sunday evening. Even with a number of injuries still diminishing his options, Stefano Pioli has slowly built a Milan squad that features enough quality on the bench to make the difference when required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
23.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.31% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)51.71% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)73.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)36.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)73.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.15% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 23.71%
    AC Milan 51.31%
    Draw 24.97%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03%
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 51.31%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
12.0%
Draw
7.7%
AC Milan
80.4%
209
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-0
AC Milan

Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')

Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (14')
Romagnoli (10'), Kalulu (34'), Bakayoko (90+3')

Buongiorno (5'), Singo (24'), Pobega (57')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
AC Milan

Baselli (44'), Linetty (48')
Hernandez (19', 62'), Kessie (26' pen.), Diaz (50'), Rebic (67', 72', 79')
Bennacer (41')
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Torino
AC Milan win 5-4 on penalties

Donnarumma (72'), Tonali (85'), Kessie (112')
Donnarumma (73')

Rincon (27'), Linetty (29'), Zaza (46'), Lukic (101'), Lyanco (115'), Gojak (118')
Jan 9, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Torino
Leao (25'), Kessie (36' pen.)
Pioli (24'), Diaz (38'), Romagnoli (41'), Tonali (45+1'), Dalot (65'), Leao (80'), Calabria (85')

Rincon (26'), Segre (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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