Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Torino had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
70.6% | 17.99% | 11.41% |
Both teams to score 47.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.58% | 42.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.22% | 10.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.22% | 34.78% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.6% | 46.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.97% | 82.02% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
2-0 @ 12.4% 1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 9.22% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 2.72% 5-0 @ 2.29% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.88% Total : 70.58% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 0-0 @ 5% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.99% | 0-1 @ 3.84% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 58 | 23 | 35 | 54 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 51 |
4 | Lazio | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 46 |
5 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
6 | Fiorentina | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 42 |
7 | AC Milan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Bologna | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 41 |
9 | Roma | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 34 |
10 | Udinese | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 30 |
11 | Torino | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Genoa | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 27 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 25 |
14 | Lecce | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 24 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 25 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 23 |
16 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Empoli | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |