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Serie A
Torino logo
Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Juventus logo

Torino
0 - 1
Juventus


Linetty (60'), Lazaro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vlahovic (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Derby della Mole between Torino and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30am in Serie A

Juventus

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Juventus
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 0-1 Juventus

 While Juventus are clearly vulnerable, Torino perhaps lack the tools to take full advantage and the weight of history bears heavily on their shoulders. The Turin derby is therefore set to be an attritional affair, in which a low-scoring Juve win is the likeliest result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawJuventus
46.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.11% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)78.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.35%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)37.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (0.004999999999999 0)74.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Torino 46.71%
    Juventus 26.18%
    Draw 27.11%
TorinoDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.09%
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Torino vs Juventus

Torino
24.2%
Draw
28.0%
Juventus
47.8%
186
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 7.45pm
Juventus
1-1
Torino
De Ligt (13')
Cuadrado (73')
Belotti (62')
Lukic (82'), Mandragora (90')
Oct 2, 2021 5pm
Torino
0-1
Juventus

Sanabria (56'), Lukic (62'), Mandragora (65')
Locatelli (86')
Chiellini (82')
Apr 3, 2021 5pm
Torino
2-2
Juventus
Sanabria (27', 46')
Ansaldi (42'), Rincon (59'), Sanabria (83')
Chiesa (13'), Ronaldo (79')
Cuadrado (68'), Bernardeschi (90+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5pm
Juventus
2-1
Torino
McKennie (77'), Bonucci (89')
Kulusevski (51'), de Ligt (72'), Cuadrado (90+3')
Pinsoglio (90')
N'Koulou (9')
Lyanco (70'), Lukic (76'), Bonazzoli (90+5')
Jul 4, 2020 4.15pm
Juventus
4-1
Torino
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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