Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
3 - 0
Napoli

Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Monza
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Torino rarely concede on home soil and Napoli were unable to buy a goal over the festive period - and have since lost several key players - it will surely be a low-scoring encounter between the two clubs. One moment of magic - or even madness - could separate them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Napoli
35.69% ( 0.05)	26.86% ( -0.02)	37.45% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.17% (

0.06)

53.83% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.7% (

0.05)

75.3% (

-0.06)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

0.06)

28.87% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

0.08)

64.74% (

-0.08)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17% (

0.01)

27.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58% (

0.02)

63.42% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Torino 35.69%

Napoli 37.44%

Draw 26.86%

Torino	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.69%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.44%