Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
60.15% ( 0.06) | 21.24% ( -0.01) | 18.6% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.92% ( -0.05) | 42.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.52% ( -0.04) | 64.47% ( 0.04) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.42% ( 0) | 13.58% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.31% ( 0.01) | 40.69% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.73% ( -0.08) | 36.26% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.95% ( -0.08) | 73.04% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 18.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
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