MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:43:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Cagliari

Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Cagliari

Napoli are still some way short of last season's scintillating form, but they should have enough gas left in the tank to secure back-to-back wins by beating Cagliari. The Isolani have picked up just two points on the road this term, so even their hosts' dire home record may not help them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawCagliari
60.15% (0.058 0.06) 21.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 18.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)64.47% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.69% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)36.26% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)73.04% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.15%
    Cagliari 18.6%
    Draw 21.24%
NapoliDrawCagliari
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Napoli vs Cagliari

Napoli
84.8%
Draw
10.9%
Cagliari
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-4
Napoli
Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')
Feb 16, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 24
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli

Pedro (12'), Walukiewicz (30'), Nandez (74')
Mertens (66')
Zielinski (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!