Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino0 - 4Napoli
Gravillon (20')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Torino 0-1 Napoli
Torino have conceded only eight goals at home, so Napoli's path to win 23 of the Serie A season is far from straightforward. As the Granata's defence generally stands firm under Ivan Juric, it could take a moment of magic to prise them open - but the Scudetto favourites are certainly capable of producing one of those. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
19.13% ( 0.1) | 24.45% ( 0.15) | 56.41% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.46% ( -0.45) | 54.54% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.11% ( -0.37) | 75.89% ( 0.37) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.05% ( -0.15) | 42.95% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.75% ( -0.13) | 79.25% ( 0.13) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.27) | 19.23% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.44) | 50.93% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Torino 19.13%
Napoli 56.4%
Draw 24.45%
| Torino | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.13% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 13.61% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 56.4% |
How you voted: Torino vs Napoli
Torino
8.1%Draw
8.1%Napoli
83.8%99
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
