Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
37.01% (![]() | 26.79% (![]() | 36.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.5% | 53.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.98% | 75.02% (![]() |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% (![]() | 27.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% (![]() | 63.55% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.6% (![]() | 28.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.85% (![]() | 64.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.98% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |