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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
1 - 2
Napoli

Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Empoli
Sunday, November 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Napoli

 After a patchy start to the season and some unsettling off-pitch turmoil, a fresh face in the dugout could yield immediate results for Napoli. Renowned for his team of Edinson Cavani, Ezequiel Lavezzi and Marek Hamsik, returning coach Mazzarri is still well regarded in Naples and could help the Partenopei earn a point against tough-to-beat Atalanta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
33.43% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 25.45% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 41.13% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.63% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84% (-0.064 -0.06)48.16% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68% (-0.058 -0.06)70.32% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)23.25% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)57.16% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 33.43%
    Napoli 41.13%
    Draw 25.44%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.43%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 9.33% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.13%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
21.5%
Draw
43.1%
Napoli
35.4%
65
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> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
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Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
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> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
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Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
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> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 23
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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