Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari2 - 1Sudtirol
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Sudtirol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecco 1-0 Bari
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Como
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, December 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Sudtirol |
54.16% ( -0.13) | 26.84% ( 0.14) | 18.99% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.85% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.32% ( -0.44) | 62.67% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.77% ( -0.32) | 82.23% ( 0.32) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.25) | 23.47% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.36) | 57.49% ( 0.35) |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.08% ( -0.28) | 47.92% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.83% ( -0.21) | 83.17% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Bari 54.16%
Sudtirol 18.99%
Draw 26.83%
| Bari | Draw | Sudtirol |
| 1-0 @ 16.3% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 54.16% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.99% |
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2023 7.30pm
Bari
1-0
Sudtirol
Mawuli (31'), Mazzocchi (57'), Siega (64'), Vinetot (90')
May 29, 2023 7.30pm
Sudtirol
1-0
Bari
Rover (90+2')
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Nov 12, 2022 1pm
