Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Brescia1 - 2Bari
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Bari.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, October 24 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Modena
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Bari |
31.14% ( 0.03) | 29.13% ( 0.03) | 39.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.88% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.07) | 62.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.73% ( -0.05) | 82.27% ( 0.06) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.44% ( -0.02) | 36.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.65% ( -0.02) | 73.34% ( 0.02) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.07) | 30.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.89% ( -0.08) | 67.1% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Brescia 31.14%
Bari 39.73%
Draw 29.12%
| Brescia | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 31.14% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.73% |
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 1pm
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 7
Bari
6-2
Brescia
Mar 24, 2018 7.30pm
Bari
3-0
Brescia
Cortesi (7'), Cancellotti (41'), Torregrossa (72')
Oct 23, 2017 7.30pm
