Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
