Serie B | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Cittadella3 - 0Ascoli
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Ascoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezia 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 1-2 Palermo
Sunday, January 29 at 1pm in Serie B
Sunday, January 29 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Ascoli |
38.13% ( -1.54) | 28.34% ( 0.27) | 33.53% ( 1.27) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.36% ( -0.76) | 59.64% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.04% ( -0.58) | 79.97% ( 0.59) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -1.28) | 30.25% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.59% ( -1.56) | 66.42% ( 1.56) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( 0.49) | 33.2% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.53) | 69.8% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Cittadella 38.12%
Ascoli 33.53%
Draw 28.34%
| Cittadella | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.53% |
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2022 11.30am
Ascoli
0-0
Cittadella
Eramo (24')
Dec 11, 2021 1pm
Cittadella
2-0
Ascoli
D'Orazio (43')
May 7, 2021 1pm
Ascoli
2-0
Cittadella
Frare (19'), Perticone (21'), Rosafio (46'), Camigliano (82')
Jan 16, 2021 1pm
Cittadella
1-0
Ascoli
Tavernelli (80')
Tsadjout (22'), Iori (35')
Tsadjout (22'), Iori (35')
