Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL1 - 1Ascoli
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ascoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reggina 0-1 SPAL
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Ascoli
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Ascoli |
38.3% ( -0.09) | 26.97% ( -0.04) | 34.72% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( 0.16) | 54.35% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( 0.13) | 75.73% ( -0.14) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( 0.03) | 27.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.9% ( 0.03) | 63.1% ( -0.04) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( 0.16) | 29.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.21% ( 0.19) | 65.79% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 38.3%
Ascoli 34.72%
Draw 26.97%
| SPAL | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.72% |
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3.15pm
SPAL
1-2
Ascoli
Melchiorri (54')
Esposito (45+4'), Crociata (55')
Esposito (45+4'), Crociata (55')
Oct 28, 2021 5pm
