Serie B | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
1 - 1
Ascoli

Dickmann (16')
Prati (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Adjapong (41')
Quaranta (43'), Buchel (73'), Lungoyi (77')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions

Last Game: Reggina 0-1 SPAL
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ascoli

All competitions

Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Ascoli
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Ascoli
38.3% ( -0.09)	26.97% ( -0.04)	34.72% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.65% (

0.16)

54.35% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.27% (

0.13)

75.73% (

-0.14)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42% (

0.03)

27.58% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

0.03)

63.1% (

-0.04)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

0.16)

29.73% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

0.19)

65.79% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

SPAL 38.3%

Ascoli 34.72%

Draw 26.97%

SPAL	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.3%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.72%