Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Cittadella4 - 1Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Cittadella
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Bari
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, December 15 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Spezia |
44.3% ( 0.09) | 27.7% ( -0) | 28% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.34% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.03% ( -0.04) | 58.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.55% ( -0.03) | 79.45% ( 0.03) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( 0.03) | 26.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.32% ( 0.04) | 61.67% ( -0.04) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.1) | 36.96% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.26% ( -0.1) | 73.74% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Cittadella 44.3%
Spezia 28%
Draw 27.69%
| Cittadella | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 28% |
How you voted: Cittadella vs Spezia
Cittadella
60.0%Draw
20.0%Spezia
20.0%5
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Aug 24, 2019 8pm
May 17, 2019 8pm
Preliminary Round
Spezia
1-2
Cittadella
Feb 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 23
Cittadella
0-1
Spezia
Adorni (9'), Frare (16'), Settembrini (27'), Benedetti (36'), Proia (73'), Parodi (81')
Adorni (50')
Sep 22, 2018 2pm
