Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
